 README for replication files

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ARTICLE: �Coalition Prospects and Policy Change: An Application to the Environment�
AUTHORS: Mark A. Kayser and Jochen Rehmert

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SOFTWARE:

	R version 3.5.2
		
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FILE LIST:

	EPS_data.csv: Full replication data-set
	Germany_MerkelII.csv: Data-set to replicate Figure 1 in the main text.
			
	Replication01_Main.R: R code that produces Figures 1 to 4 as well as Tables 1 to 3 in the main text.
	Replication02_Appendix.R: R code that reproduces Tables A1 to A9 in the appendix.

EPS_data.csv:
	country: Country Name
	year: Year
	election_date: Election date
	cabinet: Cabinet Name (following Parlgov.org)
	caretaker: indicator if cabinet is a caretaker
	cab_start: Date Cabinet starts
	cab_end: Date Cabinet ends
	cab_length: Duration of Cabinet in days
	cab_pmseatshare: Prime Minister's Party Seatshare
	cab_composition: Partisan composition of Cabinet
	pm_party: Abbreviation of Prime Minister's Party (PM)
	eco_party: Abbreviation of Ecological/Green Party
	pm_fam: Party-family of PM party
	jp_fam: Party-family of Junior Partner's (JP) party (i.e., second largest party in coalition)
	lop_fam: Party-family of Largest Opposition party (LOP)
	eco_parl: Indicator if Ecological/Green Party is in Parliament
	eco_gov: Indicator if Ecological/Green Party is in Government
	cab_minority: Indicator if cabinet is minority cabinet
	cab_numpty: Number of Parties in Cabinet
	enpp: Effective Number of parliamentary Parties
	pm_cip_net: PMs Party's Coalition Inclusion Probabilities (CIP) excl. current JP
	pm_cip_gross: PM Party's overall CIP
	pm_cip_eco: PM Party's CIP excl. Ecological/Green Part(ies)
	pm_polls: PM Party's Polls
	pm_seatsh: PM Party's seatshare
	jp_cip_net: JP Party's Coalition Inclusion Probabilities (CIP) excl. current PM
	jp_cip_gross: JP Party's overall CIP
	jp_cip_eco: JP Party's CIP excl. Ecological/Green Part(ies)
	jp_polls: JP Party's Polls
	jp_seatsh: JP Party's seatshare	
	lop_cip_net: LOP's Coalition Inclusion Probabilities (CIP) excl. current PM
	lop_cip_gross: LOP's overall CIP
	lop_polls: LOP's Polls
	eco_cip_net: Ecological/Green Party's CIP excl. current PM
	eco_cip_gross: Ecological/Green Party's overall CIP
	eco_polls: Ecological/Green Party's Polls
	eco_seatsh: Ecological/Green Party's Seatshare
	eps: Environmental Policy Stringency (OECD)
	l_eps: Lagged EPS
	gdp_quarter: GDP Growth, averaged over quarterly figures
	total_ghg: Total Greenhouse Gas Emissions per Capita
	environ_pm: PM Party's "Environmental Protection: Positive" item p501 of the Manifesto Project
	environ_jp: JP's "Environmental Protection: Positive" item p501 of the Manifesto Project
	environ_cabpty3: "Environmental Protection: Positive" of 3rd coalition party
	environ_cabpty4: "Environmental Protection: Positive" of 4th coalition party
	environ_cabpty5: "Environmental Protection: Positive" of 5th coalition party
	environ_cabpty6: "Environmental Protection: Positive" of 6th coalition party
	environ_cabpty7: "Environmental Protection: Positive" of 7th coalition party
	environ_cabpty8: "Environmental Protection: Positive" of 8th coalition party
	environ_cabpty9: "Environmental Protection: Positive" of 9th coalition party
	environ_cab_max: Max value of "Environmental Proection: Positive" in Coalition	
	environ_cab_min: Min value of "Environmental Proection: Positive" in Coalition	
	environ_cab_range: Range of "Environmental Proection: Positive" in Coalition	
	environ_cab_mean: Mean of "Environmental Proection: Positive" in Coalition	
	environ_cab_eco: Ecological/Green Party's "Environmental Protection: Positive" 
	cee: Indicator for Central/Eastern European Country
	environ_worry: Share of Population worried about Environment (ISSP)
	environ_worry_interpolated: Linear interpolation of environ_worry
	environ_worry_static: Static interpolation of environ_worry
	time_election: Time to next election in years

Germany_MerkelII.csv:
	country: Country Name
	date: Generic polling date (middle of the month)
	cabinet: Cabinet name (following Parlgov.org)
	party_abbr: Party Abbreviation
	polls: Party's Polls
	cip_gross: Overall CIP
	cip_gross_lower: Lower bound of overall CIP
	cip_gross_upper: Upper bound of overall CIP
	cip_net: Net CIP (excl. JP or PM respectively)
	cip_net_lower: Lower bound of net CIP
	cip_net_upper: Upper bound of net CIP
	cip_eco: CIP excluding Ecological/Green Party
	cip_eco_lower: Lower bound of CIP excl. Ecological/Green Party
	cip_eco_upper: Upper bound of CIP excl. Ecological/Green Party




